Development of adaptation and mitigation pathways
The output from the models will be used by decision-makers and researchers to develop adaptation and mitigation pathways for each case study – in other words, a schedule of actions that can be taken to adapt to climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, taking full account of the potential for tipping points, the interactions between sectors, and possible synergies and trade-offs between adaptation and mitigation actions. These transition pathways will be tested using the CCIAV models, to determine whether they can enable society to cope with extreme climate change scenarios.
Objectives:
- To design a stakeholder-led methodology which incorporates tipping points and uncertainties across scales for constructing effective adaptation and mitigation transition pathways under high-end scenarios;
- To organise a stakeholder workshop in each of the case studies to generate a suite of harmonised multi-sectoral adaptation and mitigation pathways that refer to multiple scales from the regional to the EU;
- To formulate mechanisms that connect and foster synergies between the adaptation and mitigation pathways across social, ecological and institutional scales; and
- To assess the adequacy of adaptive capacity under the different socio-economic scenarios for implementing the adaptation pathways associated with the high-end futures.
Further information on each research area is provided through the following links:
Innovative and effective decision-making under uncertainty
Development of integrated multi-scale scenarios
Advancement of climate change impact, adaptation and vulnerability (CCIAV) methods and models
Development of adaptation and mitigation pathways
Risks, opportunities, costs and benefits of adaptation and mitigation